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POLL: Despite U.S. polls, most expect Biden's re-election

In an online poll this week, just under two-thirds of Village Media readers were confident that U.S. president Joe Biden would be re-elected
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Then-Vice President Joe Biden on a visit to Israel in 2016.

Current U.S. president Joe Biden and former president Donald Trump are either roughly tied or Trump is in the lead, depending on what poll or simulation you choose to look at. 

In an online poll this week, however, just under two-thirds of Village Media readers were confident that Biden would be re-elected. 

Men tended to think a Trump victory was more likely than women:

There is a very sharp age difference:

And a more modest difference by education, with university graduates seeing a Biden victory as more likely:

In general, across a long series of polls, readers seemed to see what seems to be their preferred outcome (inferred through views of Canadian, U.S. or more global politics) as the most likely one. 



Patrick Cain

About the Author: Patrick Cain

Patrick is an online writer and editor in Toronto, focused mostly on data, FOI, maps and visualizations. He has won some awards, been a beat reporter covering digital privacy and cannabis, and started an FOI case that ended in the Supreme Court
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